Final Report

Modelling Framework for invasive pests: Emerald ash borer as a case study

Agrilus planipennis  ©David Cappaert/Bugwood.org - CC BY-NC 3.0 US
Sector: Forestry
Abstract

This project investigated the availability and use of generic models for bark beetles and wood boring pests, including the Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) and the Bronze Birch Borer (BBB).    Using a systematic review of existing literature, different modelling approaches were identified. Interestingly, there were over 1650 articles on modelling approaches for EAB but none for BBB. The different models were used to help predict the areas in Scotland that might be most vulnerable to EAB establishment and how rapidly spread might occur.   It also highlighted areas of biology that are needed to improve the models and how such models might be combined to assess the duel threat of EAB and ash dieback.

Image: Agrilus planipennis (Emerald ash borer); adult beetle with elytra raised and dark wings visible ©David Cappaert/Bugwood.org - CC BY-NC 3.0 US